10/19/2019- Merrimack – “Neutral” – Win (4-0)
The offense dominated first-year Merrimack goalie Troy Kobryn while Logan Drackett’s stellar play earned him a shutout.
This wasn’t a conference matchup so the Pucks and Probabilities model didn’t make a prediction.
Coming off the high of competing against nationally ranked schools in the Ice Breaker Tournament (their defeat of Bowling Green knocked BGSU out of the USCHO poll and earned RIT some votes to be included in the rankings), RIT continued their impressive play against an in-transition Merrimack team.
The scoring would indicate a game that was much more in favor of RIT than the reality of the game. Both RIT and Merrimack had somewhat even possession and shot attempt numbers (43 total shot attempts each) and each team had similar on-net, block, and missed shot numbers.
The difference came in the form of Logan Drackett who has been phenomenal through the first 4 games of the season, stopping 122 of 128 shots faced for a .953 save percentage and 1.50 goals against average.
10/18/2019- Mercyhurst – Away – Loss (4-2)
RIT pulled within one early in the third, however their efforts to tie were thwarted when Mercyhurst scored an empty net goal with 40 seconds left.
Heading into Friday the model gave Mercyhurst a 72% chance of winning. It was “successful.”
10/19/2019 – Mercyhurst – Away – Loss (6-0)
Special teams killed the Tigers, with 2 GA coming on the PP and 2 GA coming short handed. Lanteigne was pulled in favor of O’Leary 3/4 through the 2nd. Both goalies gave up 3.
After the defeat on Friday night, the PNP model only became more weighted toward Mercyhurst. The prediction was a “success.”
There isn’t really much else to say, Mercyhrust is a much better team than RIT and it showed. It remains a shame that the Women’s team does not have a dedicated Brick City Homecoming game as they previously had.