The 2020 College Hockey America Tournament is upon us. The top 2 teams in the conference get a bye into the semifinal round while the bottom 4 seeds play in a quarterfinal round to determine who moves on. The highest remaining seed takes on Robert Morris and the lowest remaining seed faces off against Mercyhurst.
- Robert Morris
- Penn State
2020 College Hockey America Tournament Simulation
The simulation is created using a modified version of the game prediction tool.
Round 1 – Quarterfinals
#3 Syracuse vs. #6 Lindenwood
Lindenwood is bad, m’kay. The model agrees. Syracuse goes into this afternoon’s game a heavy favorite.
Winner: #3 Syracuse 70% to 30%
#4 Penn State vs. #5 RIT
I don’t have that much to say other than let’s get it. The prediction tool gives RIT the upset win, 53% to 47% over a good Penn State team. I haven’t dug too deep into the numbers to see why, but it should be an exciting match-up.
Winner: #5 RIT 53% to 47%
Round 2 – Semifinals
#1 Mercyhurst vs. #5 RIT
After a great regular season the crown is Mercyhurst’s to take. I personally don’t see anyone beating them and that includes RIT, the model would agree.
Winner: #1 Mercyhurst 59% to 41%
#2 Robert Morris vs. #3 Syracuse
This will probably be one of the most intriguing match-ups before the championship game. Both teams are pretty even statistically and they split the season series at 2 games each. Robert Morris is given the edge heading into this one.
Winner: #2 Robert Morris 54% to 46%
Round 3 – Championship
#1 Mercyhurst vs. #2 Robert Morris
A super close match-up has the #2 seed prevailing over the #1, but barely. This really is anyone’s game. I personally think Mercyhurst emerges as the champions, so we will see.
Winner: #2 Robert Morris 51% to 49%